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The influence of cross-border mobility on the COVID-19 epidemic in Nordic countries
M Shubin, H Kjelgaard Brustad, J Eriksson Midtbø, F Günther, L Alessandretti, T Ala-Nissila, G Scalia Tomba, M Kivelä, L Yat Hin Chan, L Leskelä
medRxiv, 2023

Analysing the Effect of Test-and-Trace Strategy in an SIR Epidemic Model.
D Zhang, T Britton
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 84, 105 (2022).

Extending susceptible-infectious-recovered-susceptible epidemics to allow for gradual waning of immunity
M El Khalifi, T Britton
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 20,(206), 2023

A sequential Monte Carlo approach to estimate a time varying reproduction number in infectious disease models: the Covid-19 case
G Storvik, A Diz-Lois Palomares, S Engebretsen, G Ø Isaksson Rø, K Engø-Monsen, A Bråthen Kristoffersen, B Freiesleben de Blasio, A Frigessi
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society, qnad043, 2023

SIRS epidemics with individual heterogeneity of immunity waning
M E Khalifi, T Britton
arXiv, 2023

The unreasonable effectiveness of contact tracing on networks with cliques
A K Rizi, L A Keating, J P Gleeson, D O’Sullivan, M Kivelä
arXiv, 2023

The strength and weakness of disease-induced herd immunity
T Hiraoka, A K Rizi, Z Ghadiri, M Kivelä, J Saramäki
arXiv, 2023

Estimating inter-regional mobility during disruption: Comparing and combining different data sources
S Heydari, Z Huang, T Hiraoka, A Ponce de León Chávez, T Ala-Nissila, L Leskelä, M Kivelä, J Saramäki
Travel Behaviour and Society, 31:95-105, 2023

Bayesian nowcasting with leading indicators applied to COVID-19 fatalities in Sweden
F Bergström, F Günther, M Höhle, T Britton
PLOS, Computational Biology

Herd immunity and epidemic size in networks with vaccination homophily
T Hiraoka, A K Rizi, M Kivelä, J Saramäki
Physical Review E, 105(5):L052301, 2022

Adaptive and optimized COVID-19 vaccination strategies across geographical regions and age groups
J Molla, A Ponce de León Chávez, T Hiraoka, T Ala-Nissila, M Kivelä, L Leskelä
PLOS Computational Biology, 18(4): e1009974, 2022

Epidemic Spreading and Digital Contact Tracing: Effects of Heterogeneous Mixing and Quarantine Failures
A K. Rizi, A Faqeeh, A Badie-Modiri, M Kivelä
Physical Review E, 105(4):044313, 2022

Epidemic models with digital and manual contact tracing
D Zhang, T Britton
arXiv, 2023

Optimal intervention strategies for minimizing total incidence during an epidemic
T Britton, L Leskelä
SIAM Journal of Applied Mathematics, 2023

Increased household transmission and immune escape of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron compared to Delta variants
N Jalali, H Kjelgaard Brustad, A Frigessi, E MacDonald, H Meijerink, S Feruglio, K Nygård, G Ø Isaksson Rø, E H Madslien, B Freiesleben De Blasio
Nature. Communications., 2022
And blog post about the article, in Nature Portfolio Health Community

A real-time regional model for COVID-19: Probabilistic situational awareness and forecasting
S Engebretsen, A Diz-Lois Palomares, G Ø Isaksson Rø, A Bråthen Kristoffersen, J C Lindstrøm, K Engø-Monsen, L Yat Hin Chan, Ø Dale, J Eriksson Midtbø, K Lindalen Stenerud, F Di Ruscio, R White, A Frigessi, B Freiesleben de Blasio
PLOS Computational Biology., 2023

Increased transmissibility of the alpha SARS-CoV-2 variant: evidence from contact tracing data in Oslo, January to February 2021
J C Lindstrøm, S Engebretsen, A Bråthen Kristoffersen , G Ø Isaksson Rø , A Diz-Lois Palomares , K Engø-Monsen, E H Madslien , F Forland, K M Nygård, F Hagend, G Gantzel, O Wiklund, A Frigessi, B Freiesleben de Blasio
Infectious Diseases, 2021

Evaluating and optimizing COVID-19 vaccination policies: a case study of Sweden
H Sjödin, J Rocklöv, T Britton
medRxiv, 2021

Quantifying the preventive effect of wearing face masks
T Britton
Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 477(2251), 2021